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AssessmentsSep 15, 2025 | 21:16 GMT
From left to right, Small Business Administration administrator Kelly Loeffler, U.S. Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard and Environmental Protection Agency administrator Lee Zeldin listen as U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during a Cabinet meeting on Aug. 26, 2025, in Washington, D.C.
U.S. Digital Defenses Weaken, Opening the Door for Nation-State Operations
In the United States, rollbacks of federal efforts to counter foreign influence, coupled with weakening private sector content moderation, will more easily facilitate nation-state online influence operations. These operations will enable a greater proliferation of disinformation designed to stoke societal tensions, diminish faith in democratic institutions and influence public sentiments and government policy. On Aug. 20, U.S. Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard announced plans to further slash staff for her office, the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, which oversees the country's intelligence community. In conjunction with previous cuts announced in February, the latest cuts will reduce the office's personnel by nearly 50%. The most recent cuts center on consolidating teams focused on countering cyber threats and influence operations, and they include shrinking the Foreign Malign Influence Center, which serves as the primary organization for integrating intelligence on foreign influence operations, including efforts to influence U.S. elections. While
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United States
Cyber
Environment, Science & Technology
Military & Security
Politics
On GeopoliticsSep 3, 2025 | 15:51 GMT
A portrait of former U.S. President Ronald Reagan is seen in the background as U.S. President Donald Trump speaks to reporters in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, D.C., on April 22, 2025.
The Visible Hand: Trump's Interventionism Reshapes American Capitalism
In just seven months in office, Donald Trump's administration has pursued a series of highly unconventional economic policies that, taken together, amount to the deepest government interventionism into the economy of any president since the Reagan era. In doing so, Trump has largely eschewed what both parties had accepted as the tenets of American capitalism for nearly five decades -- the long-standing U.S. economic traditions that once left Adam Smith's Invisible Hand to guide the market. The Trump administration's emerging version of capitalism is one of expanded government interventionism, abandoning laissez-faire orthodoxy and centralizing authority around the president. In effect, Trump and his economic advisers want to be able to control all key aspects of economic planning, sidelining other parts of the U.S. political and economic system -- including both government institutions and the private sector.
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United States
Economics
Environment, Science & Technology
Politics
AssessmentsAug 29, 2025 | 20:13 GMT
The flag of Somaliland is seen during a political rally in Hargeisa on Nov. 8, 2024.
Assessing the Prospect of the U.S. Recognizing Somaliland's Independence
While unlikely to happen before Israel's 2026 legislative election, the United States is growing more likely to recognize Somaliland's statehood in the medium term to secure basing rights in the territory, which would likely undermine U.S.-Somalia security cooperation, drive Mogadishu closer to Turkey, and threaten a political crisis in Somalia. On Aug. 8, U.S. President Donald Trump said that his administration was ''looking into'' recognizing the independence of Somalia's breakaway region of Somaliland. This came after Bloomberg reported on July 30 that Somaliland's government had offered to grant Washington access to a military base on its territory as well as critical mineral deals in exchange for the United States' recognition of its statehood. Furthermore, Somaliland President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi, known as Irro, confirmed that his government had held talks with the U.S. Department of Defense and the U.S. ambassador in Somalia. Nonetheless, a State Department official told Fox News on
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Djibouti
Somalia
United States
Military & Security
Politics
Situation ReportAug 25, 2025 | 16:32 GMT
Vietnam, China: Beijing Condemns Vietnamese Island Building in South China Sea
China condemned Vietnam after the U.S. think tank Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative published new research demonstrating that Hanoi has sharply accelerated island building in the contested Spratly Islands of the South China Sea, with Beijing declaring the area "inherent Chinese territory," the South China Morning Post reported Aug. 25.
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China
Vietnam
Economics
Military & Security
Politics
SnapshotsAug 15, 2025 | 16:45 GMT
Workers at the Samsung plant in Sriperumbudur, India, stage a protest to demand higher wages and recognition of their union on Sept. 11, 2024.
India's Labor Codes: Challenges to Nationwide Adoption
India's new labor codes, intended to streamline regulations, modernize the workforce and attract investment, will likely face prolonged delays and uneven implementation due to political resistance, trade union opposition and state-level administrative challenges, leading to regulatory fragmentation and widening gaps in investment, job creation and worker protections across states. India's long-delayed labor reform effort remains stalled as implementation of the four labor codes passed in 2019-2020 continues to face political, administrative and legal obstacles at the state level. The reforms, which seek to overhaul India's outdated and fragmented labor laws, came amid Prime Minister Narendra Modi's broader push to improve the ease of doing business and attract investment by simplifying regulations. However, the codes have not yet been implemented because of political opposition, administrative challenges and resistance from trade unions that fear the reforms may weaken worker protections.
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India
Economics
Politics
AssessmentsAug 14, 2025 | 20:01 GMT
Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba (left) speaks next to leaders of his ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) during a press conference at the LDP's headquarters in Tokyo on Oct. 28, 2024.
The LDP, Japan's Political Leviathan, Faces Another Reckoning
Japan's latest elections highlighted structural issues for the dominant Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), which could in the coming months drive it to expand its coalition or incorporate its rivals' policies to address the public's economic concerns; otherwise, Japan may turn inward for years, and though the LDP will emerge still atop the country's political system, it will do so as first among equals rather than as its undisputed leader. The LDP's losses in the July 20 upper house elections spurred heated debates about the fate of LDP President and Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba in both Nagatacho -- the seat of government in Tokyo -- and in Japanese society at large. While the LDP itself is divided about Ishiba's fate, one thing its members and the general public agree on is that the party is experiencing a systemic electoral crisis that will not be solved by either preserving or ousting
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Japan
Politics
AssessmentsAug 4, 2025 | 15:01 GMT
The Geopolitics of Trade
The Geopolitics of Trade: Diverging Digital Governance Threatens Data Flows
Rising impediments to digital trade and cross-border data flows are leading to increasingly complex and costly regulations that could slow economic gains and potentially hinder global innovation, with smaller companies generally at greatest disadvantage. At least three distinct but related sets of data, cybersecurity and digital services regulations are increasingly impeding cross-border data flows, posing challenges to both traditional and digital trade, and effectively functioning as nontariff barriers. First, most governments worldwide are progressively enacting data localization rules, which mandate that data collected within a certain country or region be stored and processed within national borders. Many of these policies also combine local storage requirements with restrictions or full prohibitions on data outflows. Second, countries are adopting varying cybersecurity requirements -- such as encryption standards, specific security certifications or security mandates for data storage -- that can impede cross-border data flows or digital trade more broadly. Third, digital service taxes,
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Cyber
Economics
Environment, Science & Technology
Global Trade
Military & Security
Politics
AssessmentsJul 29, 2025 | 19:57 GMT
A digital illustration shows a digital human head overlaying the EU flag.
The Fate of the EU's Ambitious AI Act
Growing internal and U.S. pressure will likely force the European Union to delay or amend its ambitious AI Act, leading to short-term regulatory uncertainty but potentially more favorable compliance conditions for international AI companies operating in Europe. The EU AI Act, the bloc's landmark legislation regulating artificial intelligence, is currently in the midst of a gradual, phased-in implementation schedule. On July 10, the European Commission published the ''AI Code of Practice,'' a voluntary document meant to shed light on compliance expectations for organizations ahead of the act's more stringent enforcement dates. The next enforcement date is scheduled for Aug. 2, after which developers of general purpose AI models (e.g., chatbots and other generative AI applications) will have to comply with various notification and disclosure requirements. Once the AI Act fully enters force by August 2027, organizations developing or using AI applications will have to meet regulatory requirements like risk assessments,
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Europe
Cyber
Environment, Science & Technology
Politics
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