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On GeopoliticsAug 1, 2025 | 18:45 GMT
A view in Rostock, Germany, of the first exit of warships for the NATO exercise BALTOPS in the Baltic Sea on June 5, 2025.
Baltic on the Brink: The New Flashpoint in Europe's Confrontation With Russia
Europe is undergoing a process of rearmament and strategic transformation at a scale unseen in decades, driven by intensifying regional tensions and mounting uncertainty over the future of U.S. commitments to the Continent's defense. Nowhere is this transformation more visible than in the Baltic Sea region. Here, NATO members are rapidly scaling up defense spending, deepening military integration and reinforcing infrastructure to strengthen conventional deterrence and build resilience against hybrid threats.
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Europe
Lithuania
Germany
Finland
Latvia
Denmark
Estonia
Sweden
Poland
Norway
Ukraine
Belarus
Russia
Military & Security
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
SnapshotsAug 1, 2025 | 17:44 GMT
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi (left) shakes hands with Maldivian President Mohamed Muizzu upon meeting in Male on July 25, 2025.
Modi Resets Ties With the Maldives After Its 'India Out' Campaign
Improving relations between India and the Maldives will strengthen the former's strategic foothold in the Indian Ocean and provide the latter with needed financial support, while laying the groundwork for deeper economic integration, including via a free trade agreement. Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi announced a $565-million credit line and launched free trade talks with the Maldives during his two-day visit to the island nation that began on July 25. The trip, which coincided with the 60th anniversary of Maldivian independence, aimed to strengthen India's development partnership with the country, where New Delhi is competing with Beijing for influence. The visit also came amid rising concerns over the Maldives' struggling economy and foreign exchange shortages.
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Maldives
India
Economics
Politics
Situation ReportJul 31, 2025 | 20:50 GMT
Ukraine: Zelensky Signs Anti-Graft Law Amendments, Restores Anti-Corruption Agencies' Independence
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky signed a new law reestablishing the institutional independence of the National Anti-Corruption Bureau of Ukraine and the Specialized Anti-Corruption Prosecutor's Office, reversing amendments adopted on July 22 that had placed both bodies under the prosecutor general's control, The Washington Post reported on July 31. 
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Ukraine
Politics
AssessmentsJul 31, 2025 | 15:29 GMT
U.S. President Donald Trump prepares to sign the GENIUS Act in the East Room of the White House in Washington, DC, on July 18, 2025.
Cryptocurrency Legislation Advances, Sets New Course for U.S. Cryptocurrency Landscape
The U.S. approval of its first major federal cryptocurrency law will likely give a modest boost to crypto adoption -- primarily stablecoins -- among large corporations and well-capitalized financial institutions. However, broader public adoption will remain limited in the near term due to weak regulatory oversight and ongoing risks such as price volatility, theft and fraud. On July 18, U.S. President Donald Trump signed the GENIUS Act into law, formally enshrining federal legislation for the first time to regulate the cryptocurrency industry. His signature was the culmination of several days of intense legislative debate and procedural hurdles on the House floor that led Trump to personally contact several skeptics to press them to pass the bill. Two other accompanying bills, the CLARITY Act and the Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act, were also approved in the House and have moved to the Senate, though they are expected to meet more resistance, particularly
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United States
Cyber
Economics
Politics
SnapshotsJul 31, 2025 | 15:14 GMT
A researcher from the International Center for Agricultural Research in Dry Areas (ICARDA) examines crops in a cultivated field in Morocco on April 18, 2024.
Rainfall Boosts Morocco's Crop Yields, But Long-Term Water Crisis Persists
Morocco's short-term harvest yield increase is very unlikely to signal an end to persistent drought conditions, meaning the country will likely continue to rely on food imports and its agricultural sector will likely continue to lose jobs, worsening economic conditions ahead of the 2026 parliamentary elections. In late June, the U.S. Department of Agriculture's Foreign Agricultural Service forecasted that Morocco's wheat and barley harvest, which usually occurs from May through July, would increase its yield to 4.4 million tons, a 40% increase from the previous year's 3.1 million ton harvest. In addition, the broader agriculture sector -- which made up about 10% of Morocco's GDP in 2024 -- is expected to expand by 2.5% in 2025, according to the Moroccan central bank, after contracting by 4.8% in the previous season due to the effects of the multi-year drought. The increase is largely due to heavy rain and snowfall in March
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Morocco
Economics
Environment, Science & Technology
Politics
AssessmentsJul 30, 2025 | 21:42 GMT
Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva speaks during a press conference at the BRICS summit in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, on July 7, 2025.
The Implications of Trump's New Tariffs on Brazil
While most of Brazil's main exports to the United States are exempt from Trump's newly announced 40% tariff, the additional levies -- along with Brazil's impending economic retaliation and the likely arrest of former President Jair Bolsonaro -- will further strain bilateral ties. On July 30, U.S. President Donald Trump signed an executive order adding 40% tariffs on Brazil, which are set to take effect on Aug. 6, on top of the current 10% the country currently faces. This is in line with Trump's earlier threats to impose 50% tariffs on Brazilian goods, which he justified by citing, among other things, an alleged political persecution of former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro and several court rulings against U.S. tech companies. Since Trump made that threat on July 9, the two countries have not engaged in any formal negotiations on the tariffs, with the highest-level engagements being phone calls between Brazilian Industry
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Brazil
United States
Economics
Global Trade
Politics
Situation ReportJul 30, 2025 | 15:54 GMT
EU: 18 Member States Apply for Funding Under Joint Defense Procurement Scheme
Eighteen EU member states - including Belgium, Finland, France, Italy, Poland, Romania, Spain and the three Baltic States - have applied for funding under the bloc's new Security Action for Europe (SAFE) loan facility to support defense investments and joint procurement across the bloc, the European Commission announced on July 30.
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Europe
Economics
Military & Security
Politics
AssessmentsJul 29, 2025 | 19:57 GMT
A digital illustration shows a digital human head overlaying the EU flag.
The Fate of the EU's Ambitious AI Act
Growing internal and U.S. pressure will likely force the European Union to delay or amend its ambitious AI Act, leading to short-term regulatory uncertainty but potentially more favorable compliance conditions for international AI companies operating in Europe. The EU AI Act, the bloc's landmark legislation regulating artificial intelligence, is currently in the midst of a gradual, phased-in implementation schedule. On July 10, the European Commission published the ''AI Code of Practice,'' a voluntary document meant to shed light on compliance expectations for organizations ahead of the act's more stringent enforcement dates. The next enforcement date is scheduled for Aug. 2, after which developers of general purpose AI models (e.g., chatbots and other generative AI applications) will have to comply with various notification and disclosure requirements. Once the AI Act fully enters force by August 2027, organizations developing or using AI applications will have to meet regulatory requirements like risk assessments,
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Europe
Cyber
Environment, Science & Technology
Politics
AssessmentsJul 29, 2025 | 15:11 GMT
Iraq and Turkey's flags together on a textile cloth fabric
Turkey Shifts Iraq Strategy Amid Waning U.S. and Iranian Influence
Turkey is shifting its Iraq policy from a security-focused approach to one centered on economic integration and infrastructure development. This move aims to expand Ankara's regional influence amid Iran's declining power and the gradual withdrawal of the U.S. presence, setting the stage for growing competition with Gulf states in the long term. Iraqi oil ministry officials stated on July 21 that Turkey submitted a new pipeline agreement to Iraq that would broaden the 1973 Iraq-Turkey Crude Oil Pipeline Agreement beyond just the Iraq-Turkey Pipeline to include cooperation on natural gas, petrochemicals and electricity. The submission comes after a July 21 decree by Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan announcing the 1973 agreement would be "terminated" on July 27, 2026, after it expires. Even prior to Iraq's announcement, however, Turkish officials signaled that their intent is not to abandon the pipeline entirely, pointing out that Turkey had invested heavily in the maintenance
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Iran
Iraq
Turkey
Economics
Energy
Military & Security
Politics
SnapshotsJul 28, 2025 | 17:35 GMT
The EU flag is seen on stacked cargo containers.
New U.S.-EU Deal Averts Full-Blown Trade War -- For Now
While the new U.S.-EU framework deal temporarily averts a full-blown trade war, it leaves the European Union facing higher U.S. tariffs, unresolved regulatory disputes and growing pressure to align more closely with U.S. economic and strategic priorities, which will sustain the risk of additional trade disputes in the future. On July 27, the United States and the European Union reached a framework agreement about bilateral trade. After a meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and European Commission President Ursula Von der Leyen in Scotland, the two sides announced that the United States will impose a 15% tariff on most imports from the bloc. In addition, Trump said that the European Union will purchase $750 billion worth of U.S. energy products and invest an additional $600 billion in the United States through the end of his term in 2029. Trump also stated that the European Union will buy an unspecified amount
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United States
Europe
Economics
Global Trade
Politics
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